Tag: strategic ambiguity

Germany’s Missile Range Decision: A Perilous Step Towards Global Conflict

Tina Marie (Ms. Cat)

Berlin, 26 May 2025 – In a chilling act of imperial hubris, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has declared that Germany, in lockstep with its NATO overlords, has unshackled the range restrictions on missiles supplied to Ukraine, greenlighting strikes deep into Russia’s heart. This brazen escalation, announced today, is no mere policy shift; it is a deliberate provocation, a reckless lunge towards a global conflagration that could sear humanity’s future. The West, cloaked in the sanctimonious rhetoric of “defending Ukraine,” is goading Russia into a corner, gambling with the lives of millions in a game of geopolitical brinkmanship.

Germany’s Missile Range Decision: A Perilous Step Towards Global Conflict

Part 3a: RAND and SeaLight – Taiwan Relations Act

Tina Marie (Ms. Cat)

The United States has also recently transitioned from an ambiguous approach [strategic ambiguity] to deterring a Chinese invasion on Taiwan to one that more clearly states that the United States will defend Taiwan in the event of a Chinese invasion (referred to as strategic clarity).

P93: Understanding and Countering China’s Maritime Gray Zone Operations | RAND

This is not true! The Biden administration “walked back” his statements each time!

Read More »

China says US ‘playing with fire’ by giving Taiwan more military aid

Tina Marie (Ms. Cat)

China says US ‘playing with fire’ by giving Taiwan more military aid

Related:

Why Should We Care About America’s Indo-Pacific Allies?, May 10, 2024:

We’re not obligated to defend Taiwan. What we are obligated to do is governed by the law and the law is the 1979 Taiwan Relations Act.

…

But defending Taiwan is not one of those things, but it means that we sell them equipment that they need to defend themselves and the like. And it makes it clear intent that we want a peaceful resolution of the Taiwan PRC issue, a peaceful resolution across the Taiwan Strait. And that we are opposed to a forceful reunification against the Taiwanese people’s will.

…

Is the United States going to defend Taiwan? If the answer to that question is yes, they’re going to lose hundreds of thousands of troops in that fight and they ought to know that. And then they can then make the calculus whether it’s worth it or not.

— Admiral Harry B. Harris, Jr., former commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command

Read More »

US Navy Aircraft Transits Taiwan Strait, China Responds (+the U.S. is not obligated to defend Taiwan)

Tina Marie (Ms. Cat)

US Navy Aircraft Transits Taiwan Strait, China Responds

The U.S. Navy’s 7th fleet said a P-8A Poseidon maritime patrol aircraft transited the Taiwan Strait on Tuesday.

…

Around once a month, U.S. military ships or aircraft pass through or above the waterway that separates democratically governed Taiwan from China – missions that always anger Beijing. China claims sovereignty over the island of Taiwan and says it has jurisdiction over the strait. Taiwan and the United States dispute that, saying the strait is an international waterway.

Read More »

Donald Trump’s cabinet picks signal tougher stance on China

Tina Marie (Ms. Cat)

Donald Trump’s cabinet picks signal tougher stance on China

Alexander Gray, who served as National Security Council chief of staff in the first Trump administration, said the selections showed that Trump wanted “to surround himself with strategic thinkers who understand the challenge posed by the People’s Republic of China”. 

But Gray said Waltz would be an “honest broker”, mediating debates in the inter-agency process rather than trying to impose his own positions instead of the president’s.

Related:

Marathon Initiative:

Alexander Gray is a Senior Advisor at the Marathon Initiative. Gray previously served at the White House for four years, most recently as Deputy Assistant to the President and Chief of Staff of the National Security Council. He had earlier served as Special Assistant to the President for the Defense Industrial Base at the National Economic Council and as the first-ever Director for Oceania & Indo-Pacific Security at the National Security Council.

Front Organizations

Hong Kong ‘Protests’

*Xinjiang*

Marathon Initiative (Colby & Pottinger)